Which Xbox franchises will get a newly announced film or TV adaptation before 2028?

Question

Each answer resolves YES if, between market creation and December 31, 2027 (ET), Microsoft/Xbox or the producing studio or streamer officially announces a new live-action or animated film or TV series based on that franchise, or Variety, Deadline or The Hollywood Reporter reports it as greenlit or in active development with a named studio or streamer. Otherwise NO.

Projects already announced before this market was created do not count, and neither do in-game cinematics, trailers, or shorts under 15 minutes. A documentary about the games does not count. Context: Puck reported Microsoft turned down a $500M, seven-year Netflix deal and wants smaller deals with more partners, case by case.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, The Elder Scrolls, followed by Sea of Thieves and Warcraft are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Oct 26, 2026).

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