Will SBF be charged with witness tampering?
closes Dec 31

Resolves 'yes' if SBF is charged with witness tampering under 18 U.S. Code § 1512 by the end of 2023.

He's already been accused of witness tampering, leading to a request to alter his bail conditions to restrict his use of encrypted messaging and contact with former FTX/Alameda employees.

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Jason avatar
Jasonbought Ṁ10 of NO

You've already got really strong charges, better to leave it as uncharged conduct and seek a +2 Sentencing Guidelines enhancement for obstruction after conviction.

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Will SBF take the witness stand in his own defense?46%
Will SBF plead guilty?65%
Will SBF plead guilty to multiple charges?64%
Will SBF take a plea deal?65%
Will SBF plead guilty to all charges?33%
Will SBF plead guilty before trial?49%
Will SBF be vindicated?10%
Will SBF change his plea before the trial starts?53%
Will there be an SBF criminal trial?51%
Will any of the charges against SBF be dismissed?50%
Will there be an SBF civil trial?81%
Will SBF receive a jail-free deal?5%
Will SBF be convicted of multiple felonies?88%
Will Michael Lewis testify at SBF's trial?50%
Will Tabasco and Caroline testify against SBF?71%
Will SBF be pardoned?5%
Will SBF break the terms of his bail?40%
Will SBF die in prison?14%