Will SBF be charged with witness tampering?
Mini
49
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resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO

Resolves 'yes' if SBF is charged with witness tampering under 18 U.S. Code § 1512 by the end of 2023.

He's already been accused of witness tampering, leading to a request to alter his bail conditions to restrict his use of encrypted messaging and contact with former FTX/Alameda employees.

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predicted YES

Was there a development that indicated SBF won’t be charged with witness tampering?

predicted NO

@AlectoIrenePerez "by the end of 2023"

predicted YES

@MarcusAbramovitch Ah! I missed that when I placed my initial bet! Thanks!

You've already got really strong charges, better to leave it as uncharged conduct and seek a +2 Sentencing Guidelines enhancement for obstruction after conviction.