Resolution Criteria

A resident not publishing daily will be asked to leave the program. In some circumstances, such as emergencies, exceptions are expected to be made, and there will be flexibility about single lapses (though residents would be asked to catch up), but on the whole posting daily is a hard requirement. The market resolves YES if at least one participant is asked to leave during the April 2026 cohort. The market resolves NO if all participants who begin the program complete it without being asked to leave. In the first cohort, all 41 residents completed the program of 30 posts in 30 days.

Background

Inkhaven is a residency for ~40 people to grow into great writers, where for the month of April, participants publish a blogpost every day. Participants are committing to publish a 500+ word piece of writing on the internet each day, with a minimum of 500 words generally required. The program takes place at the Lighthaven campus in Berkeley, California.

Considerations

In the first cohort, one blogger published a blogpost below the 500-word limit on his last day as an experiment to test the rules, resulting in 1229 mandatory blogposts instead of the expected 1230. This suggests the enforcement of the daily publishing requirement may have some flexibility in edge cases, though the core rule remains in effect.

This description was generated by AI.