Will Smith will be higher than Ukraine on Google Trends on April 1st
Politics
26
9
Ṁ61
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES
Will resolve based on the earliest April 1st data point on this link: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%207-d&q=will%20smith,ukraine Mar 28: Currently at [Will Smith: 26, Unkraine: 3] Mar 29: [Will Smith: 16, Ukraine: 2] Mar 31: Increasing granularity: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%201-d&q=will%20smith,ukraine [Will Smith: 68, Ukraine: 32] Apr 1: Many have underestimated Will Power [Will Smith: 89, Ukraine: 46] For those curious, this was resolved using wordlwide data at April 1 00:00 GMT. For United States data at April 1 00:00 EST, it is still will power: [Will Smith: 67, Ukraine: 34]
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bought Ṁ5 of YES
not very likely but still more than 20%
bought Ṁ30 of NO
Yesterday's news is tomorrow's fish and chip paper
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If my Facebook feed is any indication, then yes
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Google Trends are representing short-term increase in interested, not actual interest or importance.
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Probably not, but not as probably not as the previous probability

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