Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ahmed al-Sharaa is confirmed to be alive as of 11:59 PM on July 31, 2025. Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if credible reports confirm his death before that time. Verification will be based on reputable news sources and official statements.

Background

Ahmed al-Sharaa has been serving as Syria's president since January 2025, following the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad. His tenure has been marked by significant political and military developments, including efforts to consolidate power and address internal conflicts. (bbc.com)

Considerations

Recent reports have indicated assassination attempts targeting President al-Sharaa. In June 2025, there were claims of a thwarted plot by ISIS during his visit to Daraa, though Syrian state media denied these reports. (arabnews.com) Traders should monitor ongoing developments and credible news sources for updates on his status.