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Prediction Market Title:

"Will Trump Criticize Schumer in a Headline by March 31st, 2024?"

Introduction:

US President Joe Biden recently expressed support for Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer's criticisms of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, labeling him as an obstacle to peace. Schumer's remarks, calling for new elections in Israel and suggesting Netanyahu has "lost his way," have garnered backing from Biden, highlighting a significant political stance. This prediction market explores the likelihood of a future news headline featuring Donald Trump's criticism of Schumer in response to these developments by March 31st, 2024.

Example and Likely Headlines for YES Resolution:

1. "Trump Blasts Schumer's Comments on Netanyahu as 'Disgraceful'"

2. "In Defense of Netanyahu, Trump Accuses Schumer of Betraying Israel"

3. "Trump: Schumer's Criticism of Netanyahu Harms US-Israel Relations"

4. "Donald Trump Calls Out Chuck Schumer for 'Obstacle to Peace' Remarks"

5. "Trump Criticizes Schumer's Stance on Israel, Calls for Stronger Leadership"

Example Edge Case Headlines for NO Resolution:

1. "Trump Criticizes Biden's Support of Schumer's Israel Policy" - Focuses on Biden, not directly criticizing Schumer's comments.

2. "Schumer Responds to Trump's General Critique of Democratic Leadership" - Does not directly relate to Schumer's comments on Netanyahu.

3. "Trump Comments on Israel Policy Without Directly Naming Schumer" - Lacks direct criticism of Schumer.

4. "Netanyahu Addresses Schumer's Comments, Trump Remains Silent" - Indicates Trump did not engage with Schumer's remarks.

5. "Trump's Campaign Focuses on Domestic Issues, Avoids Israel Controversy" - Shows Trump's avoidance of the specific controversy involving Schumer.
   

Prompt to resolve market

<paste in market above rules above>

Using the above, will the following headline qualify?

<paste in headline + lead paragraph>

The prompt to resolve the market is submitted 3 times using temperature 0 via the OpenAI API to the latest GPT model broadly available. It must qualify all three times in order to resolve as YES.

Note that only headlines published before the end date in the title and from the following sources can be used: Reuters, WSJ, AP, washingtonpost, NYT, BBC, ABC, NBC, CBS, and The Economist.

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