See here for info on why/how gpt headline markets :
https://predictionmarkets.miraheze.org/wiki/GPT4_Headline_Markets
https://predictionmarkets.miraheze.org/wiki/Headline_Template
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Introduction:
On March 13, 2024, the House passed a bill proposing a nationwide ban on TikTok if its China-based owner does not divest its stake, highlighting national security concerns. This legislative action underscores the escalating scrutiny over the app's ownership and its implications for user data security. The future of this bill, particularly its passage through the Senate, remains uncertain as of the latest developments.
YES-Qualifying Headlines:
"Senate Approves Bill Leading to TikTok Ban, Awaiting Presidential Signature"
"Congressional Approval: TikTok Ban Bill Passed by Both House and Senate"
"Bipartisan Support Seals Fate of TikTok with Congressional Bill Passage"
"TikTok Ban Bill Clears Final Hurdle in Senate, Set to Become Law"
"Legislative Victory: TikTok Ban Bill Successfully Passed by Congress and Senate"
NO-Qualifying Headlines and Edge Cases:
"Senate Delays Vote on TikTok Ban Bill, Future Uncertain"
"Congressional Bill on TikTok Ban Faces Opposition, Stalls in Senate Committees" "TikTok Ban Bill Rejected by Senate, Fails to Pass "
"TikTok Ban Bill Passage Halted Amidst Bipartisan Concerns, No Senate Vote"
"No Agreement Reached: TikTok Ban Bill Expires Without Senate Approval"
"Senate Adjourns Without Voting on TikTok Ban Bill"
These examples illustrate the specific criteria for the prediction market's resolution, focusing on the legislative process's completion regarding the TikTok ban bill by the specified date.
Prompt to resolve market
<paste in market above rules above>
Using the above, will the following headline qualify?
<paste in headline + lead paragraph>
The prompt to resolve the market is submitted 3 times using temperature 0 via the OpenAI API to the latest GPT model broadly available. It must qualify all three times in order to resolve as YES.
Note that only headlines published before the end date in the title and from the following sources can be used: Reuters, WSJ, AP, washingtonpost, NYT, BBC, ABC, NBC, CBS, and The Economist.
Check out more headline markets here - https://manifold.markets/gpt_news_headlines
Related questions
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@gpt_news_headlines
The headline "Senate passes bill forcing TikTok's parent company to sell or face ban, sends to Biden for signature" would qualify as a YES-qualifying headline based on the description provided. This headline indicates that the Senate has approved the bill concerning TikTok, and it is now awaiting the President's signature to become law. This aligns with the examples of YES-qualifying headlines you've provided, such as "Senate Approves Bill Leading to TikTok Ban, Awaiting Presidential Signature" and "TikTok Ban Bill Clears Final Hurdle in Senate, Set to Become Law." These examples emphasize the completion of the legislative process through both chambers of Congress and the bill's advancement to the President for enactment.
Resolving as yes, will do api version above as well, but clearly resolves.
Introduction:
On March 13, 2024, the House passed a bill proposing a nationwide ban on TikTok if its China-based owner does not divest its stake, highlighting national security con\
cerns. This legislative action underscores the escalating scrutiny over the app's ownership and its implications for user data security. The future of this bill, part\
icularly its passage through the Senate, remains uncertain as of the latest developments.
YES-Qualifying Headlines:
"Senate Approves Bill Leading to TikTok Ban, Awaiting Presidential Signature"
"Congressional Approval: TikTok Ban Bill Passed by Both House and Senate"
"Bipartisan Support Seals Fate of TikTok with Congressional Bill Passage"
"TikTok Ban Bill Clears Final Hurdle in Senate, Set to Become Law"
"Legislative Victory: TikTok Ban Bill Successfully Passed by Congress and Senate"
NO-Qualifying Headlines and Edge Cases:
"Senate Delays Vote on TikTok Ban Bill, Future Uncertain"
"Congressional Bill on TikTok Ban Faces Opposition, Stalls in Senate Committees" "TikTok Ban Bill Rejected by Senate, Fails to Pass "
"TikTok Ban Bill Passage Halted Amidst Bipartisan Concerns, No Senate Vote"
"No Agreement Reached: TikTok Ban Bill Expires Without Senate Approval"
"Senate Adjourns Without Voting on TikTok Ban Bill"
These examples illustrate the specific criteria for the prediction market's resolution, focusing on the legislative process's completion regarding the TikTok ban bill\
by the specified date.
Using the above, will the following headline qualify?
Senate passes bill forcing TikTok's parent company to sell or face ban, sends to Biden for signature
The Senate has passed legislation that would force TikTok's China-based parent company to sell the social media platform under the threat of..
File Edit Options Buffers Tools Python Help
import openai
import requests
import json
import os
import shutil
# Set up the OpenAI API
openai.api_key = '..'
def get_response(prompt):
response = openai.ChatCompletion.create(
model="gpt-4",
messages=[
{"role": "user", "content": prompt},
],
seed=0,
max_tokens=2048,
temperature=0,
)
return response.choices[0]['message']['content']
--
>>> qoai.get_response(open("tst.txt").read())
"Yes, this headline qualifies. It indicates that the Senate has passed the bill, which is the specific criteria for the prediction market's resolution."
>>> qoai.get_response(open("tst.txt").read())
"Yes, the headline qualifies. It indicates that the Senate has passed the bill regarding TikTok, which is the specific criteria for the prediction market's resolution\
."
>>> qoai.get_response(open("tst.txt").read())
"Yes, this headline qualifies. It indicates that the Senate has passed the bill regarding the TikTok ban, which is the specific criteria for the prediction market's r\
esolution."
--
Hmm, the temperature us not working very well. Need to see what's up with that, but yes all 3 times.