This market tracks whether another significant museum robbery occurs before April 18, 2026, following the recent pattern of high-profile museum thefts. Recent incidents include the October 2025 Louvre heist ($102M), September 2025 National Museum of Natural History robbery, and multiple French museum thefts in 2024-2025.

Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if a museum robbery occurs before April 18, 2026 where:

• Stolen items are valued at $1 million USD or more by official sources

• The theft occurs at a recognized museum, gallery, or cultural institution

• The incident is reported by major news outlets (BBC, Reuters, AP, CNN, etc.)

Valuation will be based on official estimates from law enforcement, insurance companies, or museum statements. Currency conversions will use exchange rates at time of theft. Private gallery thefts count if the gallery functions as a museum with public access.