SSA payments delayed by COBOL-Java migration by EOY2025?
6
100Ṁ87Dec 31
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market predicts whether the DOGE-led COBOL to Java migration at the Social Security Administration will cause at least one monthly payment cycle to be delayed by more than 3 days before the end of 2025.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve YES if there is documented evidence from official SSA sources or reputable news outlets that a monthly Social Security payment cycle was delayed by more than 3 days due to technical issues related to the COBOL to Java migration. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@GleamingRhino resolves YES. social security has not yet been late in a newsworthy or self-reported way since its inception, so any delay >3 days documented by the SSA due to Java migration resolves YES.
People are also trading
Related questions
How much of SSA's COBOL code will DOGE successfully replace by December 31, 2025?
Delayed Social Security payments to at least 100,000 people before December 31, 2025
42% chance
Will Social Security cease to be by 2050?
33% chance
Will Social Security cease to be by 2040?
19% chance
Will Social Security cease to be by 2030?
4% chance
Will AI be able to accurately do my taxes by EOY 2026?
64% chance
Will Social Security become insolvent before 2040?
46% chance
Will social security go bankrupt by 2030?
11% chance