SSA payments delayed by COBOL-Java migration by EOY2025?
5
100Ṁ85Dec 31
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market predicts whether the DOGE-led COBOL to Java migration at the Social Security Administration will cause at least one monthly payment cycle to be delayed by more than 3 days before the end of 2025.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve YES if there is documented evidence from official SSA sources or reputable news outlets that a monthly Social Security payment cycle was delayed by more than 3 days due to technical issues related to the COBOL to Java migration. Otherwise, it resolves NO.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@GleamingRhino resolves YES. social security has not yet been late in a newsworthy or self-reported way since its inception, so any delay >3 days documented by the SSA due to Java migration resolves YES.
Related questions
Related questions
Delayed Social Security payments to at least 100,000 people before December 31, 2025
46% chance
How much of SSA's COBOL code will DOGE successfully replace by December 31, 2025?
Will Social Security cease to be by 2050?
33% chance
Will Social Security cease to be by 2040?
19% chance
Will Social Security cease to be by 2030?
4% chance
Will AI be able to accurately do my taxes by EOY 2026?
64% chance
Will Social Security become insolvent before 2040?
46% chance
Will social security go bankrupt by 2030?
11% chance