Coinflip
2
700Ṁ1537
resolved Feb 21
100%97%
Tails
3%
Heads
  • A fair coin flip is a classic example of a random binary event, with each outcome having an exactly equal probability. The physics of coin flipping has been extensively studied, confirming that for a properly balanced coin flipped with sufficient force, the outcome is effectively random and unpredictable.

    Resolution Criteria

    • A fair coin will be flipped once per day at a predetermined time (to be specified by market creator)

    • Market resolves YES for "Heads" and NO for "Tails"

    • If the coin lands on its edge or the flip is otherwise inconclusive, the flip will be repeated

    • The specific method of verification will be determined by the market creator

    Considerations

    • Each flip is an independent event - previous results have no influence on future outcomes

    • The theoretical probability for each outcome is exactly 50%

    • While experimental results may vary in small samples, over many flips the results will tend to converge toward 50% due to the law of large numbers

    • No amount of research or analysis can provide an advantage in predicting a single flip outcome

    • The market creator should specify both the exact time of the daily flip and the verification method to ensure transparency

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ400
Sort by:

This question was definitely generated with AI

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules