Will there be a Black Friday 2023 stampede that results in at least one injury or death?
45
858Ṁ5641resolved Nov 25
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be reported by a major news outlet. Must happen on Black Friday. Must be a stampede. Other types of altercations don't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ329 | |
| 2 | Ṁ219 | |
| 3 | Ṁ146 | |
| 4 | Ṁ63 | |
| 5 | Ṁ50 |
People are also trading
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?
11% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2025?
7% chance
Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?
6% chance
Will there be at least 1 death due to political unrest on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
16% chance
Sort by:
@KevinBlaw Was thinking a reputable news article must report someone as “injured” (or variation of the term) to be sufficient. So probably closer to hospitalization or EMT treatment than “ouch”
@fluke Not saying this is definitive but: https://blackfridaydeathcount.com/ -- looks like either we are due for a stampede or stores have figured out how to manage traffic OR no one shops in person since 2008.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?
11% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2025?
7% chance
Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?
6% chance
Will there be at least 1 death due to political unrest on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
16% chance