Will there be a Black Friday 2023 stampede that results in at least one injury or death?
45
858Ṁ5641resolved Nov 25
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be reported by a major news outlet. Must happen on Black Friday. Must be a stampede. Other types of altercations don't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ329 | |
| 2 | Ṁ219 | |
| 3 | Ṁ146 | |
| 4 | Ṁ63 | |
| 5 | Ṁ50 |
People are also trading
Will there be more than 10 “zero-dollar shopping” incidents in the U.S. on Black Friday 2025?
23% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2025?
23% chance
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?
37% chance
Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?
9% chance
Will there be at least 1 death due to political unrest on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
16% chance
Sort by:
@KevinBlaw Was thinking a reputable news article must report someone as “injured” (or variation of the term) to be sufficient. So probably closer to hospitalization or EMT treatment than “ouch”
@fluke Not saying this is definitive but: https://blackfridaydeathcount.com/ -- looks like either we are due for a stampede or stores have figured out how to manage traffic OR no one shops in person since 2008.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be more than 10 “zero-dollar shopping” incidents in the U.S. on Black Friday 2025?
23% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2025?
23% chance
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?
37% chance
Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?
9% chance
Will there be at least 1 death due to political unrest on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
16% chance