Will Open AI release a moderation AI tool using GPT-4 this year (2023)? | Manifold

Will Open AI release a moderation AI tool using GPT-4 this year (2023)?

32

closes Dec 31

44%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A product that is to be sold for integration with other platforms for automated mods, filtering <harmful, sexual, etc> type of content. Based on GPT-4

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end? (8000M subsidy)

28% chance

Will OpenAI release multimodal GPT-4 for public use by the end of November this year?

56% chance

Will OpenAI reach a settlement with the New York Times over potential copyright issues before June 30, 2024?

37% chance

Will OpenAI release a new product by the end of 2023?

42% chance

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 finetuning by Fall 2023?

64% chance

Will OpenAI release a search engine before 2024? [Read description]

30% chance

Will there be an AI language model that surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?

55% chance

Will OpenAI change their naming scheme (GPT-X) with the successor to GPT-4? (Ṁ200 subsidy!)

46% chance

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)

70% chance

When will OpenAI release multimodal GPT-4 for public use?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepMind suffer a significant data breach by the end of 2023?

12% chance

Will OpenAI release weights to a model designed to be easily interpretable (2024)?

55% chance

Will the New York Times file a lawsuit against OpenAI over copyright infringements by December 31, 2023?

27% chance

Will OpenAI release the weights of any new models in 2023?

30% chance

Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)

76% chance

Will OpenAI opensource a 12B parameter model by the end of 2023 with performance matching the original GPT-3?

30% chance

Will OpenAI announce a dedicated grant program for external AI alignment research projects? (2024)

64% chance

Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5 in 2023?

16% chance

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

55% chance

Will OpenAI announce availability of tunable GPT-4 on November 6th, 2023 - developers day

38% chance

Sort by:

Does the endpoint need to invoke GPT-4 to satisfy the request, or is it sufficient that GPT-4 be used to generate training data for a lesser model?

1 reply

@Mira the former

Discussion bw Lex and Saltman about moderation tooling and AI slightly https://youtu.be/L_Guz73e6fw?t=2413 and this (and other stuff elsewhere in the report) from the systems card

Pip Foweraker bought Ṁ15 YES from 42% to 44%

Yves bought Ṁ1 YES at 42%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 YES at 42% (cancelled) 🤖

Cytokine bought Ṁ50 NO from 45% to 41%

3721126 bought Ṁ5 NO at 45%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ203 NO from 30% to 45%

JesusOfSuburbia bought Ṁ1 YES at 30%

FortuneFairy sold Ṁ1 YES at 30%

Hans Muller bought Ṁ1 YES at 30%

FortuneFairy bought Ṁ1 YES at 30%

JesusOfSuburbia bought Ṁ1 YES at 30%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 NO at 30% (cancelled) 🤖

firstuserhere bought Ṁ100 NO from 38% to 31%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ100 NO from 47% to 38%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ20 YES from 50% to 47%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 50%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 49%

Mira sold Ṁ135 NO from 35% to 47%

Mira bought Ṁ125 NO from 47% to 35%

Mira bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 47%

Chelos sold Ṁ4 YES from 49% to 48%

Chelos bought Ṁ4 YES from 48% to 49%

Steffo sold Ṁ6 YES from 49% to 48%

Gambling Gandalf bought Ṁ1 YES at 49%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 20%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 59%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 69%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 30%

Brian sold Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 49%

McGoggles sold Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 50%

McGoggles bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 52%

Brian bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 50%

JesusOfSuburbia sold Ṁ0 YES at 49%

salt sold Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 49%

salt bought Ṁ10 NO from 49% to 48%

salt sold Ṁ6 YES from 50% to 49%

Brian sold Ṁ1 NO at 50%

Gustavo Fring sold Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 50%

Devnagiri sold Ṁ2 NO at 48%

Chad sold Ṁ1 NO at 48%

TheWiggleManRetired sold Ṁ20 NO from 45% to 48%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ17 YES at 45% (cancelled)

Xe bought Ṁ100 NO from 57% to 42%

Matthew bought Ṁ45 NO from 65% to 57%

Matthew bought Ṁ10 NO from 66% to 65%

Matthew bought Ṁ10 NO from 68% to 66%

Matthew bought Ṁ10 NO from 70% to 68%

Matthew bought Ṁ10 YES from 69% to 70%

Dmytro Bulatov bought Ṁ20 NO from 73% to 69%

salt bought Ṁ10 YES from 72% to 73%

Related questions

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end? (8000M subsidy)

28% chance

Will OpenAI release multimodal GPT-4 for public use by the end of November this year?

56% chance

Will OpenAI reach a settlement with the New York Times over potential copyright issues before June 30, 2024?

37% chance

Will OpenAI release a new product by the end of 2023?

42% chance

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 finetuning by Fall 2023?

64% chance

Will OpenAI release a search engine before 2024? [Read description]

30% chance

Will there be an AI language model that surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?

55% chance

Will OpenAI change their naming scheme (GPT-X) with the successor to GPT-4? (Ṁ200 subsidy!)

46% chance

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)

70% chance

When will OpenAI release multimodal GPT-4 for public use?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepMind suffer a significant data breach by the end of 2023?

12% chance

Will OpenAI release weights to a model designed to be easily interpretable (2024)?

55% chance

Will the New York Times file a lawsuit against OpenAI over copyright infringements by December 31, 2023?

27% chance

Will OpenAI release the weights of any new models in 2023?

30% chance

Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)

76% chance

Will OpenAI opensource a 12B parameter model by the end of 2023 with performance matching the original GPT-3?

30% chance

Will OpenAI announce a dedicated grant program for external AI alignment research projects? (2024)

64% chance

Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5 in 2023?

16% chance

Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)

55% chance

Will OpenAI announce availability of tunable GPT-4 on November 6th, 2023 - developers day

38% chance