Who will be guests on the Lex Fridman podcast in 2024?
Basic
72
Ṁ48k
Jan 1
61%
Mehdi Hasan
5%
Julian Assange
17%
Jan Leike
13%
Candice Millard
13%
Jane Goodall
11%
Mustafa Suleyman
8%
Candace Owens and Ben Shapiro (debate)
12%
Larry Summers
9%
Darren Aronofsky
10%
Gary Marcus
11%
Geoffrey Hinton
10%
Eric Weinstein
9%
Tom Waits
15%
Tony Robbins
7%
David Deutsch
9%
Jon Stewart
11%
DaFuq!?Boom! (creator of Skibidi toilet)
14%
Andrej Karpathy
8%
Volodymyr Zelensky
6%
Yaron Brook

Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast. The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.

Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.

Could be a general category, but please avoid spamming. I will N/A at my own discretion for bad faith answers to moderate the market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I've been a bit late resolving these options , other mods have permission to resolve this market as and when needed - or i can also if someone just catalogues which option resolves to what

bought Ṁ300 Answer #0f220755a868 YES

@mods I just bet so can someone else resolve pls?

bought Ṁ298 Answer #9cfb03f1db16 YES

@shankypanky We can also resolve Amanda Askell YES, she is interviewed in this video.

@Agh mind resolving Vivek? I was the last to bet

https://youtu.be/Q8Qk_3a3lUw?si=5oy8wbW_GO1CXyR8

bought Ṁ80 Answer #nyg99z0rni YES
Julian Assange

Ivanka Trump???

yes?

bought Ṁ400 Answer #ab50a3632b18 YES
bought Ṁ75 Answer #20cbd36a424a YES

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwN8u6HFH8U&t=3s - resolves yes

@jacksonpolack should I tag you on this one going forward?

@shankypanky feel free to

I've been a bit late resolving these options , other mods have permission to resolve this market as and when needed - or i can also if someone just catalogues which option resolves to what

Made a market on what topics will be discussed on the Lex Fridman podcast episode with Sam Altman:

bought Ṁ1,000 Answer #6568e3d125b6 YES

Resolves yes

bought Ṁ1,000 Answer #13513a287b38 YES

Resolves yes

@GabeGarboden I just came over here for this but I got distracted on the way 😂 good one

bought Ṁ33 Answer #02d456961cfa YES

here's something that won't happen - but I wonder if we see Lex host more debate-style episodes this year

@firstuserhere if they appear on the podcast but the podcast is a debate format, does that count?

@shankypanky Uhhhhhhh I am happy for this to resolve yes but I bought the ten mana no before someone else could in case we are doing this literally. Because, uh, it's 2023.

@Joshua SHIT

I think "any guest after this market was created" is a totally reasonable interpretation which I support. But someone else was gonna say this if I didn't lol.

oh geeze don't panic sell, I still think it should be a yes!

Too late why am I betting while walking down the road?

Could just N/A it lol

I was just at a museum and honestly this is my fursona lol

I did a panic sell it's probably a good time to change your bet in my league market (moronic behaviour here lol)

@shankypanky Looks like FUH N/A-ed it so leagues profit will hopefully account for that correctly lol. It can be glitchy with these unlinked markets though.

@shankypanky it's ok, happens to everyone. Let's keep the focus on predicting and not arbitrarily punishing for misclicks. Cancelled the option and resubmitted it as no one traded on it.

@firstuserhere bless you 🥹

this site is really showing me I'm a more reactive person than I thought I was 😅

@firstuserhere I traded on it.

@GabeGarboden I will refund your mana, in addition to house returning it to you upon cancellation

@firstuserhere It’s fine - no worries

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules