Who will be guests on the Lex Fridman podcast in 2024?
50
760
6.1K
2025
98%
Paul Rosolie (2nd time)
50%
Mustafa Suleyman
24%
Javier Milei
21%
Candace Owens and Ben Shapiro (debate)
27%
Larry Summers
50%
Darren Aronofsky
50%
Gary Marcus
62%
Geoffrey Hinton
50%
Eric Weinstein
50%
Tom Waits
62%
Tony Robbins
81%
David Deutsch
32%
Jon Stewart
4%
DaFuq!?Boom! (creator of Skibidi toilet)
75%
Andrej Karpathy
13%
Volodymyr Zelensky
58%
Yaron Brook
75%
Michael Malice
50%
Alex Honnold

Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast. The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.

Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.

Could be a general category, but please avoid spamming. I will N/A at my own discretion for bad faith answers to moderate the market.

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I've been a bit late resolving these options , other mods have permission to resolve this market as and when needed - or i can also if someone just catalogues which option resolves to what

I've been a bit late resolving these options , other mods have permission to resolve this market as and when needed - or i can also if someone just catalogues which option resolves to what

Made a market on what topics will be discussed on the Lex Fridman podcast episode with Sam Altman:

Yann LeCun
bought Ṁ1,000 Yann LeCun YES

Resolves yes

Bill Ackman
bought Ṁ1,000 Bill Ackman YES

Resolves yes

@GabeGarboden I just came over here for this but I got distracted on the way 😂 good one

bought Ṁ33 Tucker Carlson YES

Omar Suleiman

bought Ṁ5 of Greg Brockman YES

here's something that won't happen - but I wonder if we see Lex host more debate-style episodes this year

bought Ṁ5 of Greg Brockman YES
Ben Shapiro

@firstuserhere if they appear on the podcast but the podcast is a debate format, does that count?

bought Ṁ3,000 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... YES
bought Ṁ10 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... NO

@shankypanky Uhhhhhhh I am happy for this to resolve yes but I bought the ten mana no before someone else could in case we are doing this literally. Because, uh, it's 2023.

bought Ṁ500 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... YES

@Joshua SHIT

bought Ṁ10 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... NO

I think "any guest after this market was created" is a totally reasonable interpretation which I support. But someone else was gonna say this if I didn't lol.

bought Ṁ100 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... YES

oh geeze don't panic sell, I still think it should be a yes!

sold Ṁ224 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... YES

Too late why am I betting while walking down the road?

bought Ṁ0 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... YES

Could just N/A it lol

I was just at a museum and honestly this is my fursona lol

I did a panic sell it's probably a good time to change your bet in my league market (moronic behaviour here lol)

@shankypanky Looks like FUH N/A-ed it so leagues profit will hopefully account for that correctly lol. It can be glitchy with these unlinked markets though.

sold Ṁ10 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... YES

@shankypanky it's ok, happens to everyone. Let's keep the focus on predicting and not arbitrarily punishing for misclicks. Cancelled the option and resubmitted it as no one traded on it.

@firstuserhere bless you 🥹

this site is really showing me I'm a more reactive person than I thought I was 😅

bought Ṁ50 of Beff Jezos/Guillaume... NO

@firstuserhere I traded on it.

@GabeGarboden I will refund your mana, in addition to house returning it to you upon cancellation

@firstuserhere It’s fine - no worries

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