Mini
16
158k
resolved Apr 9
Resolved
YES
Imperial College London
Resolved
NO
University of Sheffield
Resolved
NO
The Open University
Resolved
NO
Oxford Brookes University
Resolved
NO
Balliol College, Oxford
Resolved
NO
Loughborough University
Resolved
NO
Wolfson College, Cambridge
Resolved
NO
University of Strathclyde
Resolved
NO
University of Birmingham
Resolved
NO
Northeastern University London
Resolved
NO
King's College London
Resolved
NO
Jesus College, Oxford
Resolved
NO
King's College, Cambridge
Resolved
NO
Bangor University
Resolved
NO
University of Southampton
Resolved
NO
University of Warwick
Resolved
NO
University of Edinburgh
Resolved
NO
University of East Anglia
Resolved
NO
Emmanuel College, Cambridge
Resolved
NO
Hertford College, Oxford

Introduction

Wikipedia for University Challenge (source for the description)

  1. University Challenge is a British television quiz programme which first aired in 1962.

  2. The current title holders are Durham University.

Team structure

Teams consist of four members and most represent a single university (The exceptions to this are colleges of the University of Oxford, the University of Cambridge, the University of London and formerly the University of Wales which enter independent teams).

Tournament structure

  1. The current tournament format used for each series is that of a direct knockout tournament starting with 28 teams.

  2. The fourteen first-round winners progress directly to the last sixteen.

  3. Two matches, involving the four highest scoring losing teams from the first round, whose losing scores often exceed winning scores in other first-round matches, fill the remaining places in the last sixteen.

  4. Teams in the quarter-final round (last eight teams) have to win two matches in the round to progress to the semi-finals.

  5. Equally, teams must lose two quarter-final matches in order to be eliminated from that round. The pairings for matches are often chosen in order to keep stronger teams apart.

Question format

  1. Starter questions are answered individually and are worth ten points.

  2. An incorrect interruption of a starter question incurs a five-point penalty

  3. The team answering a starter correctly gets a set of three bonus questions worth a potential fifteen points, for which they can confer.

    1. Sets of bonus questions are thematically linked.

    2. They rarely share a connection with the preceding starter question, except when they are bonuses following a picture or music question.

    3. Generally, there are three separate bonus questions worth five points each.

  4. It is the team captain's responsibility to give the answer to the bonus questions unless another member of the team is specified with the phrase "Nominate [name]". The team member so named may then give the answer instead.

  5. The pace of questioning gradually increases through the show.

  6. The sound of a gong signals the end of the game. At this point, the game immediately ends, even if the quizmaster is halfway through asking a question.

  7. In the event of a tied score at the sound of the gong, a sudden death question is asked, the first team to answer correctly being deemed the winner; this is repeated until a team either gives a correct answer to a question or is deducted five points for an incorrect interruption to a question.

As the tournament progresses over the next year, I will resolve teams which get knocked out or disqualified to NO. The last team remaining will resolve to YES. In case of the tournament being canceled or the winning team being undeterminable, I will N/A the question.

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Imperial College London

Both teams are very strong with strong captains in Haddad and Swah. I just feel like overall Imperial College is very strong with Lee and Debnath handling a very wide variety of questions and Jones coming in clutch.

Trying out something different: an entire market for the Trinity vs UCL match

@firstuserhere Feel free to add other predictions, I've made 20 to start with

Sheffield's been knocked out, just finished watching the match against BirkBeck, what a great match, McMillan carried it well

I should be resolving the ones who got eliminated recently, but haven't watched the recent episodes or checked the official page. posting comment as a reminder or if someone wants to tell me which ones got out

Open University absolutely smoked Oxford Brookes. What a team

I've been impressed with Birkbeck and Oxford Brookes

Why are the probabilities free and do not sum to 100%?

@Irigi Because resolving the teams which get knocked out to NO lets us free up mana. Only 1 team wins but since the tournament will go on for the entire year, its imo preferable to remove the options which are no longer valid than to constantly keep them to <1%

P.S. @SG @JamesGrugett University Challenge is very popular amongst college students in UK and manifold is an easy place to make predictions for upcoming matches. College students using Manifold every week is an easy W.

The following teams have to win 1 more match to be able to move to the next round:

  1. Trinity College, Cambridge

  2. Oxford Brookes University

  3. University of Southampton

  4. The Open University

We have the match between Trinity College Cambridge and Southampton the coming Monday. (BBC link)