My average books read over the last 11 years is 41.
My average books read over the last 5 years is 66.
Here are my reading stats over the years:
So far, I've read 3 books in 2023. I don't read to achieve a number of books read. It'll be whatever it'll be.
(I'll resolve the market with PROB equal to whatever number of books I've read in 2023)
If by some unexpected way I end up reading more than a 100 books (never happened), then i resolve this as YES instead of PROB and create a new market. Also, I will add a comment with the number of books read so far at the end of each month.
do you have a breakdown of previous years’ books read in each month? (e.g.
22-jan: 4 books
22-feb: 5 books
22-mar: 8 books
etc)
even an estimate would be helpful for updating each month based on how this-month’s number compares to the base rate. thanks!
@firstuserhere I will mention a few caveats.
The graph doesn't write labels for months but each bar corresponds to a month in sequence.
The huge peaks of ~16 typically correspond to the end of a semester in college, and me completing my readings.
I graduated from college this year, so there are a lot of dynamic factors about when I read and have free time, which won't extrapolate easily from previous years.
I'm setting a limit order at 62, which is what I expected myself to accomplish at the start of the year. So far in 3 months i've read 10 books only, and that extrapolates to just 40 books this year.
So, feel free to bet for or against whether I will get to 62 or not
Books suck, I hope you read no more books ever for your sanity. Hence, I am a no bettor.
@SkepticIC Almost everyone is a NO bettor in this market. To provide trading incentive to others, I'll set a limit order.
Books I've finished so far in March : 0
However I have a number of books i'm reading in parallel that i will finish soon (but probably in week 1 of april) (5+ books in parallel).
I've only read one book that I actually enjoyed, how do you read so much
February Update:
I read a lot but I did not read a lot of books in February. It is not easy to strike the balance between maintaining old habits + developing new ones.
Books read in February:
The Sounds of Old Earth
Mono no Aware
Dead Man's Planet
Short Stories by Harry Turtledove: Down in the Bottomlands, the Last Article, the Road Not Taken
5 books read in January:
The ones who walk away from Omelas
Good Omens
Spark: The Definitive Guide
How to Live: 27 conflicting answers and one weird conclusion
The wonderful wizard of Oz
@firstuserhere update/edit: 6 read in january.
Old man and the sea by Ernst Hemingway
@DesTiny i had two flights each of 2 hrs today. I walked around the airport listening to a short book, i read another short book on flight 1 and another on flight 2. That's 3 books today. It's my record and i read a lot today ok?
Kinda using this market as an experiment to see if the "wisdom of crowds" aka prediction markets can converge on a better approximation for something as personal as the number of books read by some stranger on the internet, than most individuals
