My average books read over the last 11 years is 41.
My average books read over the last 5 years is 66.
Here are my reading stats over the years:
So far, I've read 3 books in 2023. I don't read to achieve a number of books read. It'll be whatever it'll be.
(I'll resolve the market with PROB equal to whatever number of books I've read in 2023)
If by some unexpected way I end up reading more than a 100 books (never happened), then i resolve this as YES instead of PROB and create a new market. Also, I will add a comment with the number of books read so far at the end of each month.
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🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ268 | |
| 2 | Ṁ116 | |
| 3 | Ṁ110 | |
| 4 | Ṁ99 | |
| 5 | Ṁ85 |
Statistically, you will read 79 books in 2023 (Excel 1.3). Based on the data provided from 2012 to 2022, I conducted a regression model. With 67% of the data being explained by the model, the accuracy is not as precise but the outcome reflects a rough estimation. The wide prediction interval underscores the substantial year-to-year fluctuation in reading volume, reflecting that while trends can guide expectations, individual reading habits can vary widely from year to year.
@GabrielTschelisnig Pray tell me what this "Excel 1.3" you've refered to conduct this statistical analysis, is.
Put up a limit order for you at 65, should be a bargain if your estimate is 79!
@IsaacKing no, hardly ever. It's more of a "want to read" list, but i don't have an ordered list i follow.
@firstuserhere I will mention a few caveats.
The graph doesn't write labels for months but each bar corresponds to a month in sequence.
The huge peaks of ~16 typically correspond to the end of a semester in college, and me completing my readings.
I graduated from college this year, so there are a lot of dynamic factors about when I read and have free time, which won't extrapolate easily from previous years.
@SkepticIC Almost everyone is a NO bettor in this market. To provide trading incentive to others, I'll set a limit order.
February Update:
I read a lot but I did not read a lot of books in February. It is not easy to strike the balance between maintaining old habits + developing new ones.
Books read in February:
The Sounds of Old Earth
Mono no Aware
Dead Man's Planet
Short Stories by Harry Turtledove: Down in the Bottomlands, the Last Article, the Road Not Taken
@DesTiny i had two flights each of 2 hrs today. I walked around the airport listening to a short book, i read another short book on flight 1 and another on flight 2. That's 3 books today. It's my record and i read a lot today ok?