Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if MrBeast's main YouTube channel reaches 500 million subscribers at any point before January 1, 2027. Resolution will be verified using publicly available subscriber counts from YouTube or major tracking services such as Social Blade, which tracks that MrBeast had 468 million subscribers as of February 22, 2026, gaining approximately 444,000 subscribers per day. The market resolves NO if the channel does not reach 500 million subscribers by December 31, 2026.

Background

MrBeast is the most-subscribed YouTube channel with 468 million subscribers as of February 22, 2026. Based on current growth rates, analysts predict that MrBeast could potentially approach the 500 million subscriber mark by the end of 2026. MrBeast gained 4 million subscribers in the last 30 days as of early March 2026. To reach 500 million from approximately 469 million requires roughly 31 million additional subscribers over approximately 10 months.

Considerations

At the current growth rate of approximately 444,000 subscribers per day, MrBeast would need to maintain this pace to reach 500 million by year-end. However, subscriber growth rates can fluctuate based on content release schedules, viral videos, and algorithm changes. MrBeast surpassed 400 million subscribers in early 2025, and his momentum has continued with high-budget productions and global philanthropic initiatives.

This description was generated by AI.