When will I begin my 2024/2025 ski season?
When will I begin my 2024/2025 ski season?
10
1kṀ4203resolved Jan 4
100%46%
Jan 1-15
1.0%
Nov 16-30
1.0%
Dec 1-15
16%
Dec 16-31
14%
Jan 15-31
7%
Feb 1-14
7%
Feb 15-28
4%
March 1-15
4%
Other
I like to ski.
I live in Montreal, ski regularly in Quebec/New England, and have a trip planned in the Rockies for early March. I already have a season pass which allows me to ski at multiple mountains, meaning I'm happy to do a few runs and go home. I always hope for an early snow that gets me on the slopes in November/December, though it has never happened.
I must ski at least 3 runs to log the day. I will only count alpine/downhill skiing.
Question will resolve after I complete my first ski day of the 2024/2025 season.
Recent first ski day history:
2023/24 - Feb 28
2022/23 - Jan 16
2021/22 - Jan 9
2020/21 - Feb 28
2019/20 - Jan 5
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.