What will be mentioned in RFK Jr's HHS report on the cause autism, if released in September?
What will be mentioned in RFK Jr's HHS report on the cause autism, if released in September?
18
1.4kṀ1186
Sep 30
87%
Environmental Toxins
77%
Vaccines
66%
Synthetic Food Dyes
63%
Pharmaceuticals
62%
Causes not listed or unknown
50%
Viral/Bacterial Infections
50%
Birth Weight
32%
Genetics

U.S. health secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has stated that a report on the cause of the ongoing "autism epidemic" in the U.S. will be released in September 2025.

This market will resolve according to potential causes identified in the report, regardless of scientific support, if the report is released during September 2025.

I will not bet on this market. Anyone can add answers.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/health-secretary-kennedy-says-us-will-know-cause-autism-epidemic-by-september-2025-04-10/

  • Update 2025-04-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarification:

    • The market will resolve based on the factors that the report explicitly identifies as causative or contributory.

    • Merely mentioning a potential cause without attributing it as causative/contributory will not be used for resolution.

US Politics
Science
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
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I really don't think it'll get published if it doesn't at least mention vaccines as a cause. https://apnews.com/article/kennedy-cdc-acip-vaccines-3790c89f45b6314c5c7b686db0e3a8f9

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2mo

Does this refer to all potential causes that the report considers, or just all potential causes that it concludes are likely? e.g. if the report investigates synthetic food dyes and comes to the conclusion that they are not relevant to autism, how does "synthetic food dyes" resolve?

2mo

@ZaneMiller Thanks for pointing this out, my intention was for it to resolve according to the factors that the report identifies as causative/contributory, rather than just what is mentioned.

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