Will the US produce more cabbage in 2024 than it did in 2023?
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2025
50%
chance

resolves yes if the United States grows more pounds of cabbage in 2024 than it did in 2023.

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I'm seeing a downward trend with a base rate of ~40% of years producing more than the previous since 2000 (https://www.statista.com/statistics/192942/us-cabbage-production-for-fresh-market-since-2000/). Am I missing a reason this is trading so high? I'm not seeing evidence of a shortage this year except in the UK and Ukraine.

@Frogswap The things you learn on Manifold lol

Where will the stats come from? Department of Agriculture?