Will there be a Splatfest in August of 2023?
Will there be a Splatfest in August of 2023?
2
70Ṁ73resolved Jul 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves as YES upon the announcement of a Splatfest set to take place in Splatoon 3 during August 2023. A Splatfest that only occurs on one day in August - e.g. one that starts in July and ends on August 1 - is sufficient for a YES resolution.
This market resolves as NO upon the announcement that the next Splatfest is set to take place in September, or NO upon the date reaching August 31 if no Splatfest has been announced by then.
The Splatfest must be an official Nintendo one - fan Splatfests don't count.
If Splatfests are ended permanently for some reason, this market resolves as NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.