Will AI wipe out the global population of trout by 2030?
13
122
270
2030
3%
chance

Resolves as expected.

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Is Kilgore Trout included in that population?

predicts NO

@PatrickDelaney Hmm, good question. I'll go with "no," since the word "trout" isn't capitalized in the question.

predicts NO

@PatrickDelaney If AI wipes out trout as a (collection of various) species, then successfully going trout fishing in America will become impossible, so I think this resolves YES even if he's still alive afterwards (he probably will be; if he was 18 in 1994, he'd be in his mid-50s when this resolves.)

This market seems fishy to me.