This market resolves as YES if a AAA game publisher sues Unity by July 1, 2024. Otherwise, this market resolves as NO on July 1, 2024.

Additional context

I've seen a lot of "Don't worry, guys! Nintendo/TPC/Microsoft is gonna sue Unity and make them reverse the changes!" on Tumblr and I don't know how much I should believe that.

(For reference, Pokemon GO, which is free to play and presumably with tens of millions of downloads, was developed in Unity...as are a significant number of other mobile games from AAA companies.)

Fine print

"AAA game publisher" is somewhat nebulous, but I'll include the following companies as a starting point:

• Nintendo, Microsoft, Sony, Konami, Capcom, Tencent, Activision Blizzard, EA, Take-Two Interactive, Square Enix, Bandai Namco, Epic, and Ubisoft.

The lawsuit has to be publicly announced and initiated before July 1, 2024 for this market to resolve YES.

The reason they're suing Unity doesn't matter.