Is Kris the Knight?
15
175
250
2036
17%
chance

It's a common theory among Deltarune fans that Kris, the protagonist of the game, is the same person as the Knight, the game's main villain. Supporters argue that their Dark World outfit, obsession with knives, and questionable actions (including opening a Dark Fountain) suggest that they're the Knight - detractors argue that such a twist would be inconsistent with the game's narrative, and that Kris being the Knight is physically impossible, as the Dark Fountain in the library was opened while Kris was under player control in the school.

So, let's bet some play-money: is Kris the Knight?

This market resolves as YES if Kris is explicitly revealed to be the same person as the Knight. This reveal must take place in Deltarune itself, or in official media run by the game's developers, e.g. the game's official website, Toby Fox's social media accounts, and so on.

This market resolves as NO if another character is explicitly revealed to be the same person as the Knight, or if Kris and the Knight are shown in the same room at the same time as separate characters, or if circumstantial evidence (e.g. the Knight taking actions offscreen while Kris is onscreen) proves that Kris is not the Knight. This reveal must meet the same criteria as stated above.

This market resolves amibguously if the identity of the Knight is left ambiguous, so long as there's a real chance that it could be Kris (for example, if Kris and the Knight meet face-to-face, but the Knight's identity is ambiguous, the market still resolves as NO because the Knight could not be Kris). It also resolves ambiguously if the final chapter of Deltarune has not been released by the end of 2035, or if Deltarune is never finished or fully released for whatever reason.

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bought Ṁ20 of YES

I’m unconvinced but it seems more plausible than this market is giving it credit for

Ooh, interesting! Hadn't really thought about this and it's been too long since I played Chapters 1 & 2. Regardless, there should be more DELTARUNE markets!

bought Ṁ22 of NO

@ForrestTaylor I was thinking the same thing! There's four total including this one, from what I can tell. The game being released in parts like this is a really fun opportunity to make prediction markets about it.

bought Ṁ20 of YES

@evergreenemily at least until chapter 7 comes out in 2060

bought Ṁ25 of NO

I'm interested to see how this market turns out. I strongly believe that Kris is NOT the Knight, but some other Deltarune fans seem to strongly believe the opposite. From my experience with the fandom, I expect that NO should have a lot more traders than YES, but we'll see...