WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent

Question

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/vote-percentages-in-us-general-elections/kxvotegeneral-kxhouserace-wyal-26cgra

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Chuck Gray in the 2026 WY-AL House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, At least 62%, followed by At least 64% and At least 66% are most likely. See the market for live updates (5 traders, as of Oct 30, 2026).

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