Will we have an automatic cloth folding machine by 2030? Requirements: Will be available to the public for less that 100,000$ Will be able to fold a messy pile of T-Shirts or Jeans with no human intervention and with less than 10% failure rate Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The machine must be able to fold T-Shirts or Jeans. Folding only other items (e.g., socks) without the ability to fold T-Shirts or Jeans is not sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution.

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 69% chance (21 traders, as of Apr 8, 2026).

Will we have laundry folding machine by 2030?

Will we have an automatic cloth folding machine by 2030?

Requirements:

Will be available to the public for less that 100,000$
Will be able to fold a messy pile of T-Shirts or Jeans with no human intervention and with less than 10% failure rate

Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The machine must be able to fold T-Shirts or Jeans.
- Folding only other items (e.g., socks) without the ability to fold T-Shirts or Jeans is not sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution.

https://www.pi.website/blog/pi0

Seems like this is doable in prototype form (and this video was apparently posted later in 2024, about 9 months after the question was posted). So now the main question is, will this be scaled up and available to the public for less than $100,000?

What if the device could fold other items but not t-shirts/jeans? E.g. socks, underwear, collared shirts, hoodies, bed linen, towels, etc. there are many things besides t-shirts and jeans

@BoydKane It's not sufficient if it can't fold one of them. Folding socks is nice, but not enough to be considered "laundry folding"

How would you resolve if a humanoid robot was available?

@tr if it can fold laundry as described, it's YES.

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