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Will Sound Transit cancel any line or station in ST3 before 2028?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ987
resolved Jun 24
Resolved
YES

Sound Transit is facing a 30- to 40-billion dollar shortfall due to increased construction costs and lower-than-expected revenues. Will they publicly announce the cancellation of any lines or stations in their ambitious ST3 expansion plan within the next few years?

Only completing design/planning/engineering will count as cancellation for the purposes of this market. Deferring a line/station to a later ballot measure or planned funding measure will also count. Not building provisional stations will not count, as they were never promised as part of the original ST3 ballot measure. Reports must be confirmed by Sound Transit to qualify.

  • Update 2026-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Sound Transit board has adopted an updated ST3 system plan addressing a $34.5 billion funding gap. The creator will use this plan for resolution, which includes:

    • Projects fully funded and constructed (not cancelled)

    • Projects partially funded through planning/design phases, to be constructed when additional funding is identified

    • Projects not currently affordable, to be re-evaluated as uncertainties resolve

    • Projects deferred until additional funding from other sources becomes available

Projects in the deferred category will count as cancellations for this market, consistent with the original description.

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bought Ṁ840 YES

https://www.soundtransit.org/get-to-know-us/news-events/news-releases/sound-transit-board-adopts-updated-st3-system-plan

Resolution based on "To address the estimated $34.5 billion funding gap over the next 20 years, the updated system plan identifies projects that are affordable within existing resources, including those that can be fully funded and constructed, and those that can be partially funded through the planning and design phases, to be constructed when additional funding is identified. 

The plan also includes projects that are not currently affordable within existing resources, which will be re-evaluated as costs and agency revenue uncertainties are resolved; and projects that will be deferred until additional funding from other sources becomes available."

bought Ṁ20 NO

Betting no, the Seattle way is to punt as much as possible.