Will Jiankui He be alive at the end of 2026?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ470Dec 15
95%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will I be alive at the end of 2026?
99% chance
Will Xi Jinping still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
79% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2026?
98% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2060?
57% chance
Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2030?
73% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive by 31 December 2026?
92% chance
Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2040?
58% chance
Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2050?
57% chance
Will Elon Musk be alive through the end of 2060?
37% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ3 NO
Betting NO as insurance
@WilliamEhlhardt Oh, he is of little concern to me, I just like to see pluralism, whether I agree or disagree
The man is presently tempting fate: https://x.com/Jiankui_He/status/1923904697574039662
@WilliamEhlhardt He's definitely learned a thing or two about shitposting: https://x.com/Jiankui_He/status/1912340929421406229
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I be alive at the end of 2026?
99% chance
Will Xi Jinping still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
79% chance
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2026?
98% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2060?
57% chance
Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2030?
73% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive by 31 December 2026?
92% chance
Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2040?
58% chance
Will Jack Ma be alive through the end of 2050?
57% chance
Will Elon Musk be alive through the end of 2060?
37% chance