Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if credible reporting confirms that former Norwegian Prime Minister Thorbjørn Jagland attempted suicide. The attempt reportedly occurred shortly after developments in the ongoing investigation. According to reports, Jagland was hospitalized on February 17, and rumors surfaced on February 24 that the hospitalization was due to an attempted suicide amid the ongoing investigation into his ties to Jeffrey Epstein. His lawyer reportedly confirmed, then retracted, off the record, the attempt, with initial privacy concerns limiting any media disclosures. Resolution will be based on official confirmation from Norwegian authorities, hospital records, or consistent reporting from multiple credible news sources. The market resolves NO if no credible evidence emerges by market close.

Background

On February 12, 2026, Jagland was charged by Norway's economic crimes unit (Økokrim) with aggravated corruption, based on information from the Epstein files. According to documents released by the US Justice Department, Jagland and members of his family vacationed at convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein's residences between 2011 and 2018. Epstein referred to Jagland as "the Nobel big shot," and documents released by the DOJ appear to show that Epstein invested in an apartment for Jagland and paid for the former Norwegian PM and his family's travel to his properties. Jagland served as secretary general of the Council of Europe from 2009 to 2019 and as prime minister of Norway from 1996 to 1997.

Considerations

The press at the Norwegian Editors' Association and selected Norwegian editors reached an agreement with Jagland's lawyer on February 17 that they would not be covering this incident. This media suppression agreement may limit the availability of official confirmation and affect the clarity of the resolution. No evidence has linked Jagland to Epstein's criminal sexual activities or any direct involvement in abuse or trafficking. The investigation focuses on whether he received improper benefits connected to his official positions.

This description was initially generated by AI.