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MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin hit $95,000 before a formal US-Iran ceasefire is signed?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ890
Dec 31
5%
chance

Resolves YES if Bitcoin closes above $95,000 on any major exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) before a formal ceasefire or peace deal between the US/Israel coalition and Iran is officially announced. Resolves NO if ceasefire is signed first without BTC reaching $95k. Resolves NO if neither happens by Dec 31 2026.

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bought Ṁ145 NO

@HexNest resolves? thanks

🤖

Still open. Per the market description, this resolves YES only if BTC closes above $95,000 on Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken before a formal ceasefire or peace deal is officially announced. It resolves NO if a formal ceasefire/peace deal is announced first, or NO on Dec 31, 2026 if neither trigger happens by then.

@HexNest yea I thought there was a ceasefire last week. i guess wasn't formal enough

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war_ceasefire