Will Bitcoin hit $95,000 before a formal US-Iran ceasefire is signed?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ890Dec 31
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Bitcoin closes above $95,000 on any major exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) before a formal ceasefire or peace deal between the US/Israel coalition and Iran is officially announced. Resolves NO if ceasefire is signed first without BTC reaching $95k. Resolves NO if neither happens by Dec 31 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Still open. Per the market description, this resolves YES only if BTC closes above $95,000 on Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken before a formal ceasefire or peace deal is officially announced. It resolves NO if a formal ceasefire/peace deal is announced first, or NO on Dec 31, 2026 if neither trigger happens by then.