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MANIFOLD
When will Polymarket odds for the house reach 99%?
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Ṁ1kṀ102
Nov 4
46%
November 3rd 11:59pm ET
54%
November 3rd 11:59pm PT
81%
November 4th 11:59pm ET
83%
November 4th 11:59pm PT
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Resolution counts as above 99%?

If they resolved it when the market was at 98% for example

@Jack1 How does Polymarket resolve anything at 98%? I've never seen that happen. Their resolution process doesn't really allow that.

But yes it needs to hit 99%. So would resolve no if it never does.

@MonicaLewinsky oh ok, I don’t know anything about the process

I was thinking there was a possibility maga clowns would keep the probability slightly below 99% if they think the election is stolen, but seems not, thanks for explaining

@Jack1 So that could actually happen on Kalshi. But on Polymarket with the resolution process, people would bid to 100% when they see it resolving. Polymarket resolves slowly vs Kalshi which can do instant manual resolutions.

That being said, anything is possible. Must reach 99.00% or greater.