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MANIFOLD
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?
2
Ṁ150Ṁ50
2027
21%
Eritrea
10%
Djibouti
10%
Somalia
10%
Kenya
23%
South Sudan
26%
Other

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Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?
Scenario #1: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?
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Continuing from Scenerio #3: Which of the will the Sudan's war spillover after South Sudan in 2027?
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
11% chance
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29% chance
Which of these conflicts will turn into a hot war in 2026?
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25% chance