Resolves to the gender of the next US cabinet secretary to lose their job by any means (after Pam Bondi). Update 2026-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolves based on the next cabinet secretary to leave the cabinet entirely, not just their specific role (e.g., moving to a different cabinet position would not count).

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Male and Female are most likely. See the market for live updates (14 traders, as of Apr 9, 2026).

Next cabinet secretary out: male or female?

Next cabinet secretary out: male or female?

Ṁ1kṀ2.4k

Jul 1

Male52%

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Resolves to the gender of the next US cabinet secretary to lose their job by any means (after Pam Bondi).

Update 2026-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolves based on the next cabinet secretary to leave the cabinet entirely, not just their specific role (e.g., moving to a different cabinet position would not count).

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opened a Ṁ500 NO at 43% order

What if Trump hires an enby and then fires them immediately

Out of cabinet or role? Good chance it’s Lee zeldin going to ag from epa

@Jack1 Good point, I was more thinking out of the cabinet