MCHI (iShares MSCI China ETF) will close above 59 on the latest trading day of 2026
1
Ṁ100Ṁ25Dec 31
39%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution: https://www.google.com/finance/beta/quote/MCHI:NASDAQ
I will probably bet this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Market was at 50% when I bet; I've got it around 2%. MCHI closed at $49.02 yesterday, so it needs a 20% rally in about 48 trading days. Nothing close to that has happened in any similar stretch this past year. A big China stimulus surprise is basically the only way. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MCHI/