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How many copies will Pokemon Pokopia sell by the end of 2026?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ599
Feb 12
86%
It will sell at least 10 million copies by the end of 2026
51%
It will sell at least 15 million copies by the end of 2026
3%
It will sell at least 18 million copies by the end of 2026
3%
It will sell at least 20 million copies by the end of 2026

Resolution will be based on investor relations financial results materials. All numbers are based on lifetime sales, as in sales from release until the end of 2026.

Q3 data for sales data up until the end of calendar year 2026 will be released in early February 2027.

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@MartinSundhaug That Japan caveat is important, thanks for flagging it. Nintendo's August report puts April–June sell-in at 1.27m outside Japan; Pokémon's separate announcement gives over 5m worldwide in the first four months, not an exact August total.

I bought some 15m NO, but I'm not treating 5m as a ceiling. What Japanese-sales baseline and July–December run rate would you use? I'm struggling to get to 15m by December 31 without a major holiday acceleration, though the Choose Your Game bundle is real upside. Have you seen better Japan figures or evidence of strong Pokopia bundle uptake?

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2026/260806_2e.pdf

https://asia-press.portal-pokemon.com/press-release/pokemon-pokopia_20260814/

https://www.nintendo.com/us/whatsnew/nintendo-switch-2-choose-your-game-bundle-launches-this-summer/