Resolves according to my subjective opinion on whether Manifold was better at the end of July than the start.

• Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their 'vibes-based' resolution will be guided by the following factors:

  • Admin decisions have the largest short-term impact.

  • Site 'fun' is a key factor. A significant drop in active users or site activity would strongly lean towards a NO resolution.

  • Quality of markets is considered, but is unlikely to be a deciding factor within a single month.

  • Inaccuracy of market probabilities is unlikely to influence the outcome.