How many paintings will I sell via Vickrey auction at the Manifest night market?
14
800Ṁ357
resolved Sep 24
100%28%
5-6
2%
0
2%
1
8%
2
17%
3
17%
4
22%
7-8
3%
9-10

Related market: https://manifold.markets/ManifestConference/how-many-people-will-attend-manifes

I am bringing ten paintings to put on Vickrey auction at the Saturday night market at Manifest. I will be submitting my own bids for each work with my true valuation – so for a painting to sell, at least one person has to submit a bid exceeding my own.

Below are the paintings. All are acrylic on canvas on a wooden frame. The square ones are 12x12 inches, the non-square ones are 16x20 inches. As a compromise between "I need to give info about my valuations for this market to be useful" and "it's a sealed bid auction dude" and "my valuations are really fuzzy anyway", I will give a range, and hope William Vickrey will still smile upon me.

  1. night's plutonian shore ($100-$500)

  1. dune grass ($50-$150)

  1. the raven and the key ($50-$150) (photo coming Friday afternoon when I unload luggage)

  1. the secret ($200-$800)

  1. pspsps ($50-$150)

  1. the courtship of color ($400-$1200)

  1. translucent anomie cyborg ($50-$250)

  1. caldera ($150-$400)

  1. grove ($50-$150)

  2. divorce ($200-$500)

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Im confident atleast Lain will sell.

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