Why are people buying France to more than 50% when Australia is currently in 3rd? And there are 3-4 other countries that could realistically get 3rd? With one more week to go?

Is it that they have more total medals than Australia or GB? One or more sports they are favorites to win gold in? A secret third thing???

please make yourselves known I'm asking genuinely

I will take a second to gloat at my very basic forecasting abilities

At least for me, I was overrating the Nielsen Gracenote predictions (https://www.nielsen.com/news-center/2024/virtual-medal-table-forecast/) since they have a good track record. Unfortunately I couldn't find a by-event breakdown of their analysis to help with live predictions.

There were a lot of French gold contenders who choked, and a lot of Japan's wins were unexpected: 8 golds in wrestling is insane for such a well-established event. Japan is good at wrestling, but their previous best was only 5 golds.

Just bought down, doesn't make any sense at all for any country to be above ~30% while we still have 11 days to go.

How does it resolve it tie.

Each answer resolves independently. In case of a tie, both answers would resolve yes. If none of the above, every answer would resolve no.

Oh it’s unlinked! Gotcha, thanks

What happens if none of the above.