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Thanks for the awesome/fun marker!

Nick Folk miss. Harrison Butker is 2023’s last perfect kicker!

Butker and Folk have both survived thru week 9. Next week, Folk kicks at TB while the Chiefs have a bye.

After week 8:

• Harrison Butker (Sunday very early, Frankfurt)

• Nick Folk (Thursday, @Pit)

After week 7, 3 kickers left:

• Harrison Butker (@DEN, late)

• Chris Boswell (@PIT, early)

• Nick Folk (@TEN, early)

After week 6, these 5 kickers remain:

• Harrison Butker (@KC, late)

• Chris Boswell (@LAR, late)

• Anders Carlson (@DEN, late)

• Nick Folk (bye)

• Cairo Santos (@CHI, early)

Bass 52 yd miss

Patterson miss

Joseph XP blocked

Moody 54 yd miss

After week 5, still 9 remaining. Daniel Carlson was eliminated, but Greg Joseph has been added to the list. (ESPN did not list him in their FG% ranking due to his low number of attempts, but he qualifies for this market with 4 FGs and 14 XPs.)

• Tyler Bass (@BUF, SNF)

• Chris Boswell (bye)

• Harrison Butker (@KC, TNF)

• Anders Carlson (bye)

• Nick Folk (London)

• Greg Joseph (@CHI, early)

• Jake Moody (@CLE, early)

• Riley Patterson (@TB, late)

• Cairo Santos (@CHI, early)

@eppsilon was wondering why other still had a decent percentage haha

Daniel Carlson 53 yd miss

And then there were 9…

All remaining kickers are perfect through Week 4.

Week 5 matchups:

• Bass (Su 9:30 AM ET, Tottenham)

• Boswell (Su 1 PM ET, @PIT)

• Butker (Su 4:25 PM ET, @MIN)

• Carlson, A (Mo 8:15 PM ET, @LV)

• Carlson, D (Mo 8:15 PM ET, @LV)

• Folk (Su 1 PM ET, @IND)

• Moody (Su 8:20 PM ET, @SF)

• Patterson (Su 1 PM ET, @DET)

• Santos (Th 8:15 PM ET, @WAS)

Greg Zuerlein miss from 52

Matt Gay miss from 47

Added this to and created a futures dashboard for anybody looking to avoid the clutter of the "X to beat X" clutter of the NFL topic (for now, hopefully we can make "NFL Future" it's own topic):

https://manifold.markets/dashboard/nfl-futures

NFL - Futures

Unique NFL future markets to avoid the clutter of Week to Week and "Will Team X" make the playoffs in the NFL category.

In theory, this can't be closed until the end of the season (since a team can sign a kicker), correct? Just confirming (which is why "Other" has a large percentage)

@XavierW That's clearly not within the spirit of the market though

(there is a mirrored flaw where it could have resolved to the first kicker to hit ten combined FGs and XPs, but it's fine to ignore these contingencies)

@JoshuaWilkes yeah…both flaws are “technically correct, the best kind of correct”, but i will assert my market making authority and ignore them

@JoshuaWilkes i’ll make the rules more robust next year 🙂

@eppsilon Sounds good, definitely agree it's against the spirit of the market in the scenario I described

@eppsilon there is an uncomfortable scenario where a kicker gets injured and his replacement is on 8 successful kicks when the second to last other kicker misses a kick

Eddy Pinero 55-yd miss

Grupe missed game winning 46-yd FG