Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Sarah B. Rogers officially vacates, resigns, is dismissed, or is replaced in her role as the United States Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. If she remains in office as of that deadline, the market will resolve to NO.

• Dual-Role Clarification: In March 2026, Rogers was nominated to concurrently serve as the Chief Executive Officer of the U.S. Agency for Global Media (USAGM). If she is confirmed to the USAGM position but retains her office as the Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs, this does not qualify as leaving her role, and the market will resolve to NO (unless she subsequently vacates the State Department role before the deadline).

• Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or reports from major, reputable news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, The New York Times, or The Washington Post).

Background

Sarah Brooke Rogers was sworn in as the 11th U.S. Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs on October 10, 2025. In March 2026, President Donald Trump nominated her to head the U.S. Agency for Global Media (USAGM), which oversees Voice of America. State Department spokespersons and media reports have indicated that she is expected to continue serving in her State Department role in a dual capacity even if confirmed to lead the USAGM.

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