Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go above 42% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽
Basic
12
Ṁ3.3kNov 21
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
His approval is currently 38.7%
it was last above 42% in may of Last Year
RESOLUtion
Resolves Yes if Biden's Approval rating goes above 42% at any point prior to the November election -
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
https://news.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx
In 2020, Trump's approval rating surged just before the election. The same occurred with Obama in 2012. I would expect something similar to happen this year
@SaviorofPlant Approval ratings basically never increase by more than 3% from this point to the election. 40-41% looks possible, but 42% seems hard for Biden. He likely needs some big development such as a ceasefire and lowering inflation.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 35% before the Election?
23% chance
Will Biden's approval rating be above 40% on FiveThirtyEight as of August 1 2024?
18% chance
Will Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50%?
21% chance
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day?
21% chance
What will Joe Biden's approval rating be on election day per 538?
At the end of September will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?
32% chance
On Election Day, what will 538 say Joe Biden's approval rating is?
41% chance
Will Biden’s approval ever exceed 50% (sans emergency)?
20% chance
At the end of August will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?
29% chance
If Biden is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
20% chance