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Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go above 42% before the Election? πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ—³οΈπŸ—½
18
αΉ€1kαΉ€15k
resolved Sep 3
Resolved
YES

His approval is currently 38.7%

RESOLUtion

  • Resolves Yes if Biden's Approval rating goes above 42% at any point prior to the November election -

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@elf this can resolve as yes now.

42.1 right now, has to hold until midnight, assuming intraday doesn't count.

bought αΉ€50 YES

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
https://news.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

In 2020, Trump's approval rating surged just before the election. The same occurred with Obama in 2012. I would expect something similar to happen this year

@SaviorofPlant Approval ratings basically never increase by more than 3% from this point to the election. 40-41% looks possible, but 42% seems hard for Biden. He likely needs some big development such as a ceasefire and lowering inflation.

bought αΉ€1,500 YES

@riverwalk3 How about dropping out of the race?