Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go above 42% before the Election? ๐บ๐ธ๐ณ๏ธ๐ฝ
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1kแน15kresolved Sep 3
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His approval is currently 38.7%
it was last above 42% in may of Last Year
RESOLUtion
Resolves Yes if Biden's Approval rating goes above 42% at any point prior to the November election -
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/
https://news.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx
In 2020, Trump's approval rating surged just before the election. The same occurred with Obama in 2012. I would expect something similar to happen this year
@SaviorofPlant Approval ratings basically never increase by more than 3% from this point to the election. 40-41% looks possible, but 42% seems hard for Biden. He likely needs some big development such as a ceasefire and lowering inflation.