Skip to main content

Manifold saw it coming

Before polls closed, Manifold had Democrats ahead of real-money markets, and reacted faster as the news dropped. We were more confident at every milestone we checked, and were the best source for predicting the 2026 Midterms.

Replay Election week and see for yourself.

Senate control
+6pts
ahead of real money
House control
+4pts
ahead of real money
Loading the replay…

Leaderboards

Who made the most on the 2026 election markets, and whose markets drew the most traders.

Top traders

#TraderProfit
1Ṁ1,025,397
2Ṁ242,788
3Ṁ220,894
4Ṁ110,745
5Ṁ55,693
6Ṁ43,216
7Ṁ27,061
8Ṁ24,612
9Ṁ20,959
10Ṁ20,323

Top creators

#TraderTraders
16,632
22,207
31,183
41,128
5805
6714
7434
8367
9284
10283
Profit, and traders on the markets each creator made, across the 2026 election topics.