Will mpox (monkeypox) cases drop below 10/day during February?
9
13
190
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves to YES if the reported 7-day rolling average confirmed cases of Mpox (monkeypox) worldwide is less than 10 for any day in February 2023, as reported by Our World in Data: https://ourworldindata.org/monkeypox

Bidding closes at the end of the month, but I will resolve as soon as there is data for February 28st. Notice that there could be adjustments on the data later, but I will resolve with the first data available.

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predicted NO

Lowest point for February was 14.0

sold Ṁ32 of YES

Feb 23 is reporting 71 cases (not average), so any 7-day average that includes Feb 23 (which includes every day until the end of the month) will have a 7-day average higher than 10 (71/7 > 10). Therefore, the only option for YES is a substantial recount of previous data

bought Ṁ5 of NO

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