Will Donald Trump's birthday become a U.S. federal holiday?
14
100Ṁ578
2028
5%
chance

In February 2025, congresswoman Claudia Tenney introduced a bill that would make Donald Trump's birthday (June 14) a US federal holiday. Will this bill (or a bill like it) pass?

Resolves YES if June 14 is celebrated as a federal holiday in the United States in 2025, 2026, 2027, or 2028. Resolves NO if none of those four dates are celebrated as a holiday.

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@traders nothing yesterday so I resolved the short term market NO. the next three years aren't out of the question though in my opinion

Just to check: cases where June 14 becomes a new holiday unrelated to Trump do count, right?

@AnT Yes as long as it happens on June 14

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