On June 24, 2023, Sierra Leone's voters head to the polls for a general election on two separate things: the next president and the next parliament. This market is about the next parliament only.
As of the previous election in 2018, the parties represented are the:
"All People's Congress" (with 68 seats),
"Sierra Leone People's Party" (with 49 seats),
"Coalition for Change" (with 8 seats), and
"National Grand Coalition" (with 4 seats)
for a total of 146 seats (although the seat count has varied in the past). Several other parties also won representation in past elections, but the first two parties seem to be the main contenders.
This market resolves MULTI to the distribution of political parties represented (with the share being #seats from this party/#total seats). If the election is postponed then I'll update the description and close date accordingly. If no such election occurs before 2023 ends, then the market resolves N/A.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ13 |
People are also trading
According to this Reuters article the SLPP got 60% (81 seats) and the APC got the other 40% (54 seats), so I'm resolving this now.
Results aren't out yet but are expected in the next few days per the BBC, so I'm semi-arbitrarily pushing the close date by exactly three.