Will I attend any of Lighthaven's Eternal September?
Standard
5
Ṁ1030
Jan 1
57%
chance

This looks fun and I'm enamored with the kind of people who are likely to attend but... will they attend? My probability depends a lot on who else is going. If you're (a) awesome and (b) going or likely going, then you should bid up the probability here and then let me know.

https://www.lighthaven.space/eternalseptember

I'll be totally transparent in the comments here about my plans.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 NO

Nothing has changed so far in my thinking. I keep meaning to ask more friends about this. I guess by default the probability gradually goes down over time until something happens that makes it jump up. Flight prices could also be a factor, I guess.

Related question: If I were to go for a week or a weekend, when should that be?

@dreev during the Love Symposium!

https://symposium.love/

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules