If it takes >1 hour, how long will it take to get through security at Copenhagen airport?
5
5
Ṁ760Ṁ2.1K
resolved Jul 20
Resolved
1.51D
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Resolves to the number of hours from curbside to arriving at our gate. (But resolves N/A if it takes under an hour!) We're checked in but need a boarding pass from a ticket agent. And our backpacks will probably count as carry-ons.
Our flight time is 9:25am on KLM to Amsterdam for a connection to Portland.
(Meta: I'm realizing that this market won't likely do us much good because we need to know the worst case -- or say a 98% confidence interval -- rather than the average case. Which means we need a Metaculus-style market that yields a probably distribution!)
PS: Updated to be conditional, thanks to a clever idea from @James to estimate the worst case rather than the average case.
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