In a blog post "Reflections" (https://blog.samaltman.com/reflections) Sam Altman says "We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output of companies."

This market will resolve yes if, by the end of 2025, either of the following are true:

• There are mass layoffs of knowledge workers which are reported to be from AI automation (reported as "mass layoffs" by the normal networks)

• TFP in the American private non-farm business sector grows by >5% as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for a reason other than that there has been a recession/recovery. Will resolve according to the 2025 version of (https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/prod3.pdf) to probably be released in 2026 which is why market closes late 2026.