Will I walk 450k steps in November?
➕
Plus
45
Ṁ6033
Dec 1
94%
chance

year so far:

I feel deep guilt and shame for yet again not meeting my walking goals for the year so i'm doing kind of a last minute makeup. My personal monthly record is 373,753 so this would be a Herculean effort but i feel up for it. Weather is not a constraint. I'll only bet YES and hold in this market so incentives are aligned

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

needed to really dig in for this last 3 days, partly because my routine broke down and I was having to do too many steps all at once, and partly because of cumulative fatigue. regardless, the result is i'm 91k steps shy of 450k with 7 days to go. i will almost certainly hit the goal so my new focus is closing the gap in my 1:1 with @LuisPedroCoelho and stacking a couple of 20k step days back to back

3 more solid days averaging ~16k steps. With 10 days to go I need to average roughly 14k steps to hit my goal. Feeling pretty confident

Posting the head-to-head market here as well, where it's very close rn (~4k steps difference)

middling last few days, but I limited the damage on the poor days, and did 21k steps today to make up for the accumulated deficit. I'm now 5k steps ahead of target with 13 days to go, and feel great again (again), and very confident. Focus next week is morning consistency and keeping it easy. Barring an act of God, I will easily hit 450k steps tbh. Your feeble NO bets mean nothing, once again.

wheels are coming off the bus...I had a stressful personal situation and only walked 10k steps total over the last 2 days. I've used up all my buffer so I'll have to start all over again, and risk falling behind if i don't get back on track soon

bought Ṁ100 NO from 68% to 62%
bought Ṁ100 NO

@dlin007 you going to fail and let someone as obnoxious as myself profit?

bought Ṁ105 YES from 73% to 75%

@AlQuinn the thought of your crusty old hater ass stealing my mana is powering me through moments of weakness so far sooo...thanks 😊?

deciding to break the chain by pre-emptively taking a rest day was the dumbest shit i came up with as i broke my momentum entirely and only did 20k steps these last two days. will try to get back on track today. might reduce the cadence of updates to once every four days

after 10 days, I'm at 181k steps, around 30k steps ahead of schedule. had a few shaky days that felt like a grind but i feel great again. will be taking full rest day tomorrow (max ~6k steps) to recharge and forestall any creeping burnout

Step markets are among my favorite

@snazzlePop i thought this was a pun at first, since this market is a stepped graph as well

2 more days averaging 16k, will probably hit 175k steps by end of day 10. The effort required to hit 15k has become dramatically higher, and it's becoming kind of a grind but consistently hitting 8k steps in the early morning is keeping me in the game

2 mediocre days because of very little sleep, but I still averaged just under 14k steps

another 2 solid days averaging ~19k steps, banked 20k steps already. Special shoutout to @AlQuinn

@dlin007 😉

no spreadsheet yet, but i'm off to a strong start stacking two 20k days in a row. your weakass NO bets only make me stronger

bought Ṁ150 NO from 44% to 38%

Will you walk 500 miles?

bought Ṁ10 YES from 36% to 37%

That a lot of steps. I barely got over 450K in a single month (in February) when I was prepping for a 120K challenge.

@AlQuinn it is, but if it was going to be easy then it wouldn't be fun

will you be providing daily or weekly updates? how can we follow along?

@mattyb yep, I can share a spreadsheet that tracks my Garmin and give some state of play commentary quite often

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules