Will Donald Trump win >20% of votes in Philadelphia County, PA?
Standard
15
แน1100Dec 31
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
State-level markets = boring, played out. Manifold deserves to speculate on midwestern counties they haven't the first clue about.
For reference:
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/pennsylvania
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-pennsylvania.html
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Election?
24% chance
Will Trump win Pennsylvania in the 2024 Presidential Election?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
47% chance
Will Donald Trump win both the popular vote and the Electoral College?
22% chance
Will Donald Trump win a majority of the vote (>50%) in these states?
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US presidential election?
47% chance
Will Donald Trump win 280 electoral votes?
41% chance
Will Donald Trump win Pennsylvania's vote in the 2024 election?
50% chance
Will Donald Trump win Pennsylvania in the 2024 presidential election?
42% chance