16
114
แน€1k
Nov 6
43%
chance

This market is part of my Battleground States group, a series of markets relating to key competitive swing states in the 2024 US Presidential Election. These markets allow users to bet on a state-by-state basis how they foresee the results of election day (November 5th, 2024) playing out. Be sure to check out the entire category to see which races are up for grabs!

Nevada! The last state in the union to officially tally up its votes in the 2020 election and declare Biden its winner (for some reason, Nevada is just really slow with counting its votes). This state is the only one in my series of battleground states that actually went to Hillary Clinton in 2016 and for good reason too! The state has been solidly blue since the Obama years.

2004: Bush (2.6)

2008: Obama (12.5)

2012: Obama (6.7)

2016: Clinton (2.4)

2020: Biden (2.7)

However, Democrats shouldn't be so comfortable. In the 2022 midterm elections, the Democratic incumbent Senator Catherine Cortez Masto only eeked out a slim victory with a margin of less than 8000 votes. Additionally, both the state governorship and lieutenant governorship flipped to Republican candidates.

Will the Democrats be able to continue their winning streak in 2024? Or were the state trends in 2022 indicative of burgeoning Republican support? YES resolution means Blevada. NO resolution means Revada.

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nevada is north carolina for the GOP

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